Article Title

Definition, Validation and Comparison of Two Population Models for Austria

Authors

Martin Bicher, Technische Universität WienFollow
Barbara Glock, dwh simulation serviceFollow
Florian Miksch, dwh simulation serviceFollow
Niki Popper, Technische Universität WienFollow
Günter Schneckenreither, Technische Universität WienFollow

Keywords

population model, model comparison, validation, cross-model validation

Abstract

In this work we present two structurally different mathematical models for the prognostic simulation of Austria’s population: A time-continuous, macroscopic system dynamics approach and a time-discrete, microscopic agent-based approach. Both models were developed as case studies of a series of population concepts in order to support models for decision-support in Austria’s health care system. In the present work we want to focus on the definition, the parametrisation as well as especially the validation process of both population-models. The latter was of special interest as it included a cross-model validation with Statistics Austria’s own prognostic model SIKURS.

DOI

10.33107/ijbte.2015.4.1.07

Recommended Citation

Bicher, Martin; Glock, Barbara; Miksch, Florian; Popper, Niki; and Schneckenreither, Günter (2015) "Definition, Validation and Comparison of Two Population Models for Austria," International Journal of Business and Technology: Vol. 4: Iss. 1, Article 7.
DOI: 10.33107/ijbte.2015.4.1.07
Available at: https://knowledgecenter.ubt-uni.net/ijbte/vol4/iss1/7