Imperial Projects and Anti-Balkanization: A Formal Model of Countries’ Conquest and Unification in a Post-Hegemonic World
Session
Political Sciences
Description
The post-Cold War era has seen a balkanization of the world stage, increasing the UN membership with 34 new states, but also with 10 other functional states that have not acquired yet UN membership. The globalist character of the current world order and the hegemonic role of its single superpower, the US, may have encouraged such geopolitical fragmentation. However, this world order is being challenged increasingly more by emerging new powers, and a shift toward a multipolar world order and its security challenges may spell reverting to military blocks, re-unification and even outright imperialism. In such conditions, countries may need to voluntarily join economies and security resources in a single country or just occupy parts or entire other countries to maximize their security. I build a formal model that analyzes how three factors, economy, security and popular psychology affect each other, and test it with simulated data. The data range of the psychological factor (from – to +), ensures that the model captures a wide range of cases, from brute military occupation (and the subsequent popular opposition) to willful unification (and the subsequent wide popular support).
Proceedings Editor
Edmond Hajrizi
ISBN
978-9951-982-41-2
Location
UBT Lipjan, Kosovo
Start Date
25-10-2025 9:00 AM
End Date
26-10-2025 6:00 PM
DOI
10.33107/ubt-ic.2025.335
Recommended Citation
Peshkopia, Ridvan, "Imperial Projects and Anti-Balkanization: A Formal Model of Countries’ Conquest and Unification in a Post-Hegemonic World" (2025). UBT International Conference. 5.
https://knowledgecenter.ubt-uni.net/conference/2025UBTIC/PS/5
Imperial Projects and Anti-Balkanization: A Formal Model of Countries’ Conquest and Unification in a Post-Hegemonic World
UBT Lipjan, Kosovo
The post-Cold War era has seen a balkanization of the world stage, increasing the UN membership with 34 new states, but also with 10 other functional states that have not acquired yet UN membership. The globalist character of the current world order and the hegemonic role of its single superpower, the US, may have encouraged such geopolitical fragmentation. However, this world order is being challenged increasingly more by emerging new powers, and a shift toward a multipolar world order and its security challenges may spell reverting to military blocks, re-unification and even outright imperialism. In such conditions, countries may need to voluntarily join economies and security resources in a single country or just occupy parts or entire other countries to maximize their security. I build a formal model that analyzes how three factors, economy, security and popular psychology affect each other, and test it with simulated data. The data range of the psychological factor (from – to +), ensures that the model captures a wide range of cases, from brute military occupation (and the subsequent popular opposition) to willful unification (and the subsequent wide popular support).